Private credit, measured from the public tables: what super funds hold, what banks and non-banks lend, and where the strain shows. Private equity to follow.
Mark led the analytics behind INSIGHT, the equity research product Canaccord Genuity acquired, worked on market data at the ASX, and founded ETFtracker.
Nobody knows exactly. Published estimates range from $50bn to $250bn, with ASIC's review at about $200bn. The RBA says the full size is not directly observable. Super funds, the one group measured directly, held $46.2bn of private debt in June 2026.
$46.2bn in June 2026, or 1.5% of super assets, up from $16.4bn in June 2022, according to APRA. The top ten funds hold 77% of it.
Not on the tables. Banks' exposures to land development ($34.5bn) and other residential property ($66.7bn) are higher than two years ago. Non-bank lenders' share of new housing loans has also risen, from about 5% to 11%.
They tripled over four years but have flattened: 1,540 NSW construction companies entered external administration in 2025-2026, against 1,567 the year before. One group collapse in August 2026 added 545 companies in a single day.
There is no register of funds with their sizes and strategies, super funds report private debt as one line, and the RBA’s own series for non-bank lending ends in 2019.
General information only, not legal, financial or investment advice.